限购政策对中国住房消费性与投资性需求的影响研究  被引量:7

The Effects of House Purchase Limits on Housing Consumption and Investment in China

在线阅读下载全文

作  者:莫家颖 弋代春[1] 

机构地区:[1]西南财经大学经济与管理研究院

出  处:《投资研究》2015年第10期110-123,共14页Review of Investment Studies

摘  要:2010年4月,为抑制大中城市持续攀升的房价,国务院发布以限制城镇家庭购房套数为核心内容的"限购令"。截止2012年,全国已有46个地级以上城市实施了"限购令"。可是随着2014年第一二季度住房市场量价齐跌的出现,不断有地方政府开始放松限购。研究限购政策不仅有助于理解这些政策对住房市场的影响,而且有助于我们预测放松限购政策是否能提升住房市场的需求。根据中国家庭金融调查2011年的数据,实证研究表明,限购令的实施对于购房行为的确存在负向影响,但与限购政策预期目标不一致的是,限购政策对于限购范围内家庭购房行为的影响并不显著,而对于非限购范围内家庭购房行为的影响显著。限购政策对于首次购房负向影响显著,但对于投资性购房需求影响并不显著。To cool down the overheated housing markets of large and medium-sized cities in China, the state council of China announced the policy of limiting home purchase in April 2010. By 2012, more than 46 cities across the country had implemented the localized limit policies. But as some housing markets have experienced the failing trends of housing transaction volume and housing prices in the first quarter of 2014, some local governments began to relax the restrictive measures. Research on home purchase limits will not only help us understand the impacts of these policies on the housing markets, but also predict whether or not relaxing the limits can promote the demands of the housing markets. Based on the 2011 survey data of Chinese Household Finance Survey, our empirical results show that there is suppressive impact of the implementation of house purchase limit on the home-purchase behavior, but the impacts are not consistent with the targets of the policies expected the policymakers. It is shown that the effects of these policies on the housing demand of limited households are not significant, while these policies are found to have significant effects on the housing demand of unrestricted households. Our results also show that these policies have negative effects on first - time home purchase decisions, but for investment demand their effects are not significant.

关 键 词:家庭金融调查 限购政策 住房需求 投资性需求 

分 类 号:F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]

 

参考文献:

正在载入数据...

 

二级参考文献:

正在载入数据...

 

耦合文献:

正在载入数据...

 

引证文献:

正在载入数据...

 

二级引证文献:

正在载入数据...

 

同被引文献:

正在载入数据...

 

相关期刊文献:

正在载入数据...

相关的主题
相关的作者对象
相关的机构对象