中日贸易污染条件研究——基于MRIO模型的分析  

The Pollution Terms of Trade Between China and Japan:An Analysis Based on the MRIO Model

作　　者：马晶梅[1] 王新影[1] 贾红宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨理工大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2016年第2期100-110,共11页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"跨国公司非股权经营模式下本土企业升级机制研究"(编号:71303071)

摘　　要：基于多区域投入产出模型(MRIO),对2000-2011年中日贸易隐含碳进行测算。结果显示,中国对日本拥有大量的隐含碳顺差,中国单位出口的平均污染量是其从日本进口的5.3-7.5倍。因此,由于出口产品远比进口产品更为"肮脏",中国成为日本转移高碳产业的"污染避难所"。在此基础上,采用SDA法对影响中日贸易污染条件变迁的效应进行分解。结果显示,中国碳排放强度效应和日本中间投入结构效应为负,对改善中日贸易污染条件起到了促进作用。而中国中间投入结构效应、日本碳排放强度效应、中国出口结构及日本进口结构效应为正,加剧了中国贸易污染条件的恶化。We calculate embodied carbon in Sino-Japanese trade at both the aggregated and specific industry levels between 2000 and 2011 with the multi-regional input- output model（MRIO）. Our results show that China has a large amount of surplus of embodied carbon in its trade with Japan. We also calculate the pollution terms of trade（PTT） between China and Japan. The results reveal that pollution per unit in China＇s exports is 5.3 to 7.5 times that of its imports,indicating that Chinese exports are much dirtier than imports from Japan. SinoJapanese trade contributes to the deterioration of China＇s environment, making China a kind of haven for Japanese pollution. Then we use the SDA model to deconstruct the factors affecting changes in the PTT in Sino- Japanese trade. Results show that both carbon intensity effect of China＇s exports and Japan＇s intermediate input structure effect are negative, which helps improve the Sino- Japan PTT or inhibits its deterioration. China＇s intermediate input structure effect, the carbon intensity effect of Japan＇s exports, the export structure effects of China and the import structure effect of Japan are positive, leading to the deterioration of the PTT in Sino-Japanese trade.

关 键 词：贸易隐含碳 贸易污染条件 污染避难所 MRIO模型 SDA法 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]