基于模糊数学改进的BZA-1法在单基药生产过程安全评价中的应用  

Application of improved BZA-1 method based on fuzzy mathematics in single base propellant production safety evaluation

作　　者：刘保顺[1] 马忠亮[1] 

机构地区：[1]中北大学化工与环境学院,山西太原030051

出　　处：《山西化工》2016年第1期86-90,共5页Shanxi Chemical Industry

摘　　要：单基发射药连续生产过程中易发生燃烧爆炸等危险事故。针对现有评价方法不能完全考虑到单基药生产过程系统内的复杂人、机、环境,或者敏感的系统内外危险性的情况,结合单基药生产过程特点,在传统BZA-1法的基础上,采用了模糊数学的方法评估和计算了可控危险度的未受控系数K、改进其中静态危险度V、工艺过程危险系数γ、事故概率指标P、人员密度或出现频次D等值。全面考虑生产过程中的复杂情况,改善了原方法中"简单粗暴"的K值确定方法。利用该评价方法对某单基药工厂进行综合评价。结果显示,更符合实际情况。Combustion or explosion in single base propellants continuous production process occurs frequently.The existing evaluation methods can not take into account the complexity of the man,machine and environment conditions fully in production system,or risks of internal and external of the sensitive system.Combined with the characteristics of single base propellants production process,based on the traditional BZA-1method,by fuzzy mathematics methods,the value of K（The uncontrolled coefficient of Controllable risk）is assessed and calculated,including static risk（V）,process risk coefficient（γ）,accident probability index（P）,personnel density or frequency of occurrence（D）and so on.The complexity of the production process is fully taken into account,the ＂simple and crude＂ calculation method of K is improved.Using the above method to comprehensively evaluate single base propellant plant is more realistic.

关 键 词：单基发射药 BZA-1法 模糊数学 安全评价 

分 类 号：TJ55[兵器科学与技术—军事化学与烟火技术]