基于外弹道计算的人影高炮作业安全评估方法  

A Safety Assessment Method of Weather Modification Operation Based on External Trajectory Calculation

作　　者：黎祖贤 刘红武 廖俊[3] 张中波 周盛 

机构地区：[1]湖南省人影领导办公小组,长沙410118 [2]湖南省气象台,长沙410118 [3]中南大学航空航天学院,长沙410083

出　　处：《气象科技》2016年第1期152-156,共5页Meteorological Science and Technology

摘　　要：随着经济的高速发展,各个高炮作业点所在地的周边环境已经发生了很大变化,为了进一步提高人工影响天气作业的安全性,针对高炮作业特点提出了一套安全论证方法。推导了弹道计算的方法,在此基础上结合安全射界法和地理信息系统对作业安全性进行了更精确的评估,并给出实例说明。提出用危险系数的方法进行安全性评估,给出了具体的危险系数定义方法,通过评估系统的一次实际作业评估证明了危险系数进行安全性评估的可行性。以该方法进行安全性评估可有效保障人影作业的安全性,为人影作业提供重要的参考。With the rapid development of the economy,the surrounding environment of artillery operation points has changed greatly,in order to further enhance the security of weather modification operations,a set of safety demonstration methods are proposed referring to the characteristics of artillery operation.The method for calculating the external trajectories of artillery for weather modification is derived.On this basis,a more accurate safety assessment method is given in combination with the safety shooting-area method and GIS,and an example is given to demonstrate the feasibility of the represented method.The danger coefficient method for weather modification safety assessment is proposed.The definition of danger coefficient is given,and an example of safety assessment is provided by the safety assessment system developed by the method,which proves the feasibility of the methods.

关 键 词：外弹道计算 高炮作业 安全评估 人工影响天气 

分 类 号：P48[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]