林业补贴对山区农户风险态度影响的实证分析——基于浙江省的调查数据  

Impact of Forest Subsidies on Farmers' Risk Attitude in Mountain Areas: An Empirical Study Based on Investigation in Zhejiang Province

作　　者：沈月琴[1] 舒斌[1] 朱臻[1] 白江迪 刘红妍[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江农林大学经济管理学院,浙江临安311300

出　　处：《农林经济管理学报》2016年第1期31-38,共8页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management

基　　金：浙江省中央财政林业补贴试点社会经济效益监测项目(2045200148);东南亚环境经济项目(EEPSEA)

摘　　要：林业补贴是发展林业的一项重要财政手段,而林业补贴能否影响农户的风险决策呢?基于2014年浙江省建德和开化92户农户调研数据,采用实验经济学方法测算农户风险态度即风险偏好程度,在此基础上,运用单因素分析法及序次Logit模型实证分析林业补贴对农户风险态度的影响。研究结果表明:在10%统计水平下,获得造林补贴农户处于高风险偏好程度的可能性是未获得造林补贴农户的2.46倍;相对于未获得抚育补贴农户,获得抚育补贴农户处于高风险偏好程度的可能性提高2.03倍。其他个体特征变量及家庭特征变量对农户的风险偏好程度均有影响。最后,基于研究结果提出政策建议,为政府决策提供借鉴。While forestry subsidy is an important financial means for the development of forestry,it remains a question whether forestry subsidies influence farmers＇ attitude to risks.This paper,based on the survey data of 92 farmers from Jiande and Kaihua County in Zhejiang Province,used experimental economics methods to calculate farmers＇ risk attitudes,or their degree of risk preference.On this basis,Ordered-Logit Model was adopted to empirically analyze the effects of forestry subsidies on farmers＇ risk attitudes.The results of the study show that in the 10% level of statistical,farmers with afforestation subsidies were 2.46 times more likely to find themselves with high risk preference than those who have not obtained the afforestation subsidies; similarly,the possibility of high risk preference has been increased by a factor of 2. 03 for farmers with tending subsidies compared to farmers without them.Other individual characteristics variables and family characteristics variables on farmers＇ risk preference degree all had some impact on farmers＇ risk preference.Finally,some policy suggestions were put forward to provide reference for government in decision-making.

关 键 词：林业补贴 风险态度 序次Logit模型 

分 类 号：F326[经济管理—产业经济]