提升安徽省经济增长质量的途径研究——基于SUR模型的多方程系统分析  

A Study on the Ways to Improve Economic Growth Quality in Anhui Province——Based on Multi-equation System Analysis of SUR Model

作　　者：李荣富[1] 傅懿兵[2] 王萍[3] 

机构地区：[1]池州学院商学院,安徽池州247000 [2]烟台职业学院会计系,山东烟台264000 [3]东北财经大学经济学院,辽宁大连116025

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2016年第3期14-20,26,共8页East China Economic Management

基　　金：安徽省教育厅人文社会科学研究重点项目(SK2013A123)

摘　　要：文章尝试性地从主要影响因素方面分析和判断安徽省经济增长质量的提升途径。选择度量经济增长质量及其受经济结构、技术创新、区域差异、经济金融化程度等方面因素影响的观测变量,运用似不相关回归(SUR)模型的多方程系统,研究1981-2013年安徽省经济增长质量受主要因素的定量影响效应;通过SUR模型设定、估计和目标路径仿真,分析同一经济系统内诸因素对安徽省改革开放以来经济增长质量的影响路径,提出改善经济增长质量的途径。This paper tries to analyze and judge the ways to improve economic growth quality from the main influencing factors in Anhui province. The paper chooses the observed variables to measure economic growth quality and other observed variables, which are influenced by economic structure, technology innovation, regional difference, the degree of economic finaneialization and so on. It applies multi-equation system of seemingly unrelated regression （SUR） model to study the quantitative impacts of the main factors on economic growth quality in Anhui province from 1981 to 2013. By the SUR model setting, estimation and target path simulation, the paper analyzes the paths of the influences of various factors within the same economic system on economic growth quality in Anhui province since the reform and opening up, and puts forward the ways to improve economic growth quality.

关 键 词：经济增长质量 SUR模型 多方程系统 安徽省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]