我国猪肉贸易环境污染效应分析  

Estimating the Scale,Composition,and Technique Effect of China's Pork Trade on the Environment

作　　者：陶红军[1] 谢超平[2] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108 [2]弗吉尼亚理工大学农业与应用经济学系,弗吉尼亚州黑堡24061

出　　处：《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第2期113-122,共10页Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70371025);福建省软科学项目(2015R0102);福建省教育厅重点项目(JAS14044)

摘　　要：猪肉贸易对环境产生直接和间接影响。首先估算了2001-2012年期间我国31个省级空间单元生猪养殖业主要污染物产量及其主成份综合值。其次,估计了我国生猪养殖业污染产量的规模、结构、技术和贸易弹性。估计结果表明,猪肉生产规模强度是决定生猪养殖业污染的最重要因素。资本禀赋增加降低了生猪养殖业污染,可支配收入提高则增加了生猪养殖业污染,生猪养殖业不存在"污染避风港"现象。猪肉贸易不能通过改变资本禀赋和消费者收入的方式间接影响生猪养殖业污染。在确保国内猪肉综合生产能力的基础上适当增加猪肉进口,既可以提高消费者福利水平,还可以取得积极的环境效应。The paper estimates pollutants produced by China＇s pork industry and their principal component scores at the provincial level using newly published pollutants production factors. The empirical results show that pollution production from China＇s pork industry mainly responds to the scale intensity of pork production. Capital accumulation helps reduce pollution production,but income increases it. The results deny the ＂Pollution Haven＂hypothesis in pollution production from China＇s pork industry. Pork trade has a direct and positive impact on pollution production from China＇s pork industry. But China＇s pork trade volume is too small to affect pollution production from the pork industry through scale,composition,and technique effects. If China relaxes its pork trade restrictions,not only would consumer benefit,but pollution production from the pork industry would decline.

关 键 词：猪肉贸易 生猪养殖业 养殖业污染 消费者福利 粪便管理 资本禀赋 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]