我国粮食主产区粮食全要素生产率时空演变及驱动因素  

Empirical Analysis on Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Food Total Factor Production in Major Grain Producing Areasofour Country

作　　者：张利国[1] 鲍丙飞 

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学鄱阳湖生态经济研究院,中国江西南昌330013

出　　处：《经济地理》2016年第3期147-152,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71263018);中国博士后科学基金项目(2013T60236;2012M510700);江西省社会科学基金项目(13GL06;14SKJD21);江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目(JC1513);江西省现代农业及其优势产业可持续发展的决策支持协同创新中心课题(XDNYA1507);江西财经大学2015年度学生科研课题(XS307)

摘　　要：运用DEA-Malmquist指数和固定效应模型分析2001—2012年我国粮食主产区粮食全要素生产率时空演变及驱动因素。结果表明:从时间维度看,主产区粮食全要素生产率年均增长1.3%,且是技术进步"单轨驱动"模式;从空间维度看,主产区粮食全要素生产率除四川省下降之外,其余省域粮食全要素生产率均上升;显著影响粮食全要素生产率的因素为粮食经济发展水平、人均GDP、劳均经营规模、种粮人口比重、单位面积粮食产量。This paper analyzed the spatio-temporal evolution and driving forces total factor productivity of major grain producing areas in our Country from 2001 to 2012 by Using DEA-Malmquist index and fixed effects model.The results as follows that from the point of view of time, food total factor production grew at an average annual rate of 1.3% in the main grain producing areas,and relied on ＂monorail drive＂ mode of the technical progress;from the perspective of spatial dimension, the total factor production of main producing areas except Sichuan Province,food total factor production are rising in the rest of the provinces（autonomous regions）; Factors significantly influence of major grain producing areas total factor productivity have the level of economic development of grain per capita GDP, grain workers were operating scale, grain proportion of the population, grain yield per unit area.of grain.

关 键 词：粮食全要素生产率 时空演变 驱动因素 DEA-MALMQUIST指数 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]