教育发展与经济增长关系研究——基于VEC模型估计  

Study on the Relationship Between Education Development and Economic Growth-Based on VEC Model Estimation

作　　者：曹玲娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《科技广场》2016年第1期188-192,共5页Science Mosaic

摘　　要：本文在对1978—2014年中国教育发展与经济增长相关指标进行ADF检验和Johansen协整检验的基础上,运用矢量误差修正计量模型得到教育发展对经济增长的弹性系数为0.015。并通过格兰杰检验发现,在滞后期为1和10时,GDP与教育发展水平之间互为Granger原因。但就方差分解结果而言,目前劳动投入与资本投入的作用仍然比教育对GDP的影响大。Based on the ADF test and Johansen co integration test for 1978-2014 China education development and economic growth indicators, by using vector error measurement correction model, the paper obtains that the coefficient of elasticity in the development of education to economic growth is 0.015. Through the Grainger test, the paper finds out that in the lag period of 1 and 10, GDP and the development level of education are mutual Granger reasons. However, the variance decomposition results show that the current labor input and capital input still contributes more in GDP that of the education.

关 键 词：ADF检验 VEC模型 教育发展 格兰杰检验 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]