经济增长、产业结构变迁与城乡居民收入差距——基于PVAR模型的动态分析  

Economic Growth,Industrial Structure Change and the Income Gap between Urban and Rural Residents——Dynamic Analysis Based on PVAR Model

作　　者：黄可人[1,2] 韦廷柒[2] 

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学,丰台100070 [2]广西科技大学,柳州545006

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2016年第4期145-152,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目(项目编号:12BDJ028)

摘　　要：本文运用 PVAR模型研究了我国1998～2012年的经济增长、产业结构变迁与城乡居民收入差距之间的动态关系。研究结果显示：经济增长短期内对城乡收入差距的影响具有缩小作用，但是长期来看，经济增长与城乡收入差距的变动存在相互促进作用；产业结构的调整与城乡收入差距的关系并不一致。产业结构的合理化调整有助于缩小城乡收入差距，而城乡收入差距的变动也存在促使产业结构合理化调整的推动力，产业结构的高级化缺乏缩小城乡收入差距变动的效果，同样当前城乡收入差距的变动不利于产业结构的高级化发展。This article uses the PVAR model to study the dynamic relationship between economic growth , industrial structure change and the income gap between urban and rural residents in China during 1998-2012 . Research results show ：economic growth has reduced the short-term impact on the income gap between urban and rural areas , but in the long term , changes in economic growth and income gap between urban and rural areas promote each other ;however , industrial structure adjustment is not consistent with the income gap be-tween urban and rural areas . Industrial structure rationalization can help to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas , and changes in the income gap between urban and rural areas also have driving force to promote the rationalization of industrial structure ;indus-trial structure upgrading lacks the effect of narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas , and the change of income gap between urban and rural areas is not conducive to the upgrading of the industrial structure .

关 键 词：经济增长 产业结构 城乡收入差距 面板VAR 脉冲响应 GMM估计 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] F224