地方政府适应气候变化行动的绩效评价与区域比较  

Performance Evaluation and Regional Comparison of Local Governmental Adaptation to Climatic Change in China

作　　者：姚晖[1] 宋恬静 朱琴[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学经济管理学院,南京210044

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2016年第2期24-28,共5页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：中国制造业发展研究院2012年度开放课题(SK20120200-15);国家自然科学基金项目(71173116);江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目

摘　　要：全球气候变化背景下,对地方政府适应气候变化绩效的测度、区域间绩效差异的评估以及导致差异的主要因素分析具有重要意义。通过构建一个包括自然、社会和经济子系统的评价指标体系,采用因子分析法,对中国大陆除西藏以外的30个省份2012年适应气候变化的绩效水平进行评价。结果表明:(1)地方政府适应气候变化的整体绩效水平不高,且不论是子系统绩效还是综合绩效均存在显著的区域差异;(2)引起区域气候变化适应低绩效的原因存在一致性,而引致区域适应高绩效的原因各不相同;(3)某些区域的子系统发展不均衡,存在"短板",从而造成其适应能力的脆弱性和高绩效水平的不可持续。根据研究结果,地方政府应趋利避害,因地制宜地确定适应模式和重点,促进子系统间及各系统内主要因子的均衡发展。In the background of global climatic change, it is important to make performance evaluation, regional comparison, and factor analysis for discrepancy of local governmental adaptation to climatic change. By con- structing an assessment index system including three subsystems of natural, social and economic factors with the method of factor analysis, performance evaluation and regional comparison of local governmental adaptation to cli- matic change in 30 Chinese provinces and regions in year 2012 was conducted. The overall performance level of local governmental adaptation to climatic change was low, with significant regional difference in both general and subsystemic performance ; There was obvious consistency in main factors associated with low performance of local governmental adaptation but significant diversity in factors related to regional high performance from different subsys- tems; The development of subsystems was significantly unbalanced in some provinces or regions, which led to the vulnerability and no continuity of high performance in local governmental adaptation to climatic change. Based on the results of this study, it is suggested that local government should make full use of advantages and avoid disad- vantages, and make adaptation policy to climatic change in accordance with local conditions to promote balanced growth of all subsystems and main factors.

关 键 词：气候变化 适应 绩效评价 区域比较 因子分析 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]