中国经济新常态下社会中等收入阶层培育策略研究——基于人均GNI波动视角  

Cultivation Strategy of Middle Income Class in China Under the New Norm of Economy:Based on GNI Per Capita

作　　者：王增文[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《上海交通大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2016年第2期23-32,共10页Journal of Shanghai Jiao tong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：江苏省高校哲学社会科学基金项目(2015SJB141)

摘　　要：文章从中产阶层作为推动经济和社会健康持续发展的关键动力视角切入,建立了相关数理经济模型,并采用计量经济模型,对经济新常态背景下收入分配两极分化严重而缺失中等收入阶层的"金字塔型"社会及中等收入阶层为主、财富分配符合"橄榄型"社会的样本国家做了经验分析。结果显示,国家的投资消费水平及技术进步等变量对社会中等收入阶层的培育具有显著性促进作用;而政府支出和人口赡养比等变量对其有抑制作用。鉴于此,针对目前中国经济和社会的实际状况,本文认为,通过改革税收制度、适度增加公共财政投入力度、合理提升居民消费支出、促进技术进步、优化出生率及合理配置第三产业比重等策略来实现培育社会中等收入阶层的终极目标。Taking the middle class as the key power to promote the economic and social development, a relevant mathematical model was established. Using an econometric model, an empirical aflalysis was conducted of the ＂Pyramid type＂ of countries whose income distribution differentiates seriously and of the ＂olive type＂ of countrieswhose income were distributed mostly to the middle class. The results show that the investment consumption and technological progress of a country have a significant promotion effect on the cultivation of middle income class, while the government expenditure and population support ratio have an inhibition effect. In view of the actual economic and social situation in China, it is believed that the ultimate goal of cultivating social middle income class can be achieved by reforming the tax system, increasing the public financial investment, improving the consumption expenditure, promoting technological progress, and optimizing the birth rate and reasonable allocation of the third industrial proportion.

关 键 词：中等收入阶层 培育 策略 利益格局 

分 类 号：F126[经济管理—世界经济]