中国在丝绸之路经济带的农产品贸易效率分析  

Analysis on export efficiency of Silk-road Economic Belt on China's agricultural products

作　　者：童晓乐 徐晨杰 谭晶荣[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工业大学经贸管理学院,浙江杭州310023 [2]上海大学经济学院,上海200433

出　　处：《浙江工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第1期25-30,63,共7页Journal of Zhejiang University of Technology：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71173193);浙江省重点软科学项目(2014C25029)

摘　　要：基于随机前沿引力方法,利用World Bank WITS贸易数据对中国在丝绸之路经济带沿线国家的农产品出口贸易效率进行测算,进而对各年影响贸易效率的人为、自然因素进行估计。结果表明,中国对丝绸之路经济带沿线国家农产品出口贸易效率仅为0.26,人为因素对贸易效率的影响远高于自然因素(占比约90%),且在不同类别农产品中的影响程度有所不同,其中经济规模、人口、基础设施建设、科技发展水平等自然因素对我国农产品出口贸易效率的影响逐渐削弱,而合约执行力、政策透明度、通关便利性以及FTA等人为因素的影响则不断增强。Based on the framework of the Stochastic Frontier Theory,we apply the World Bank WITS Trade Data to estimate the export efficiency degree of Silk-road Economic Belt on China＇s agricultural products,and the manmade factors and natural factors that may impact the import efficiency are correspondingly analyzed. The result shows that the trade efficiency of China＇s agricultural products in Silk-road Economic Belt import markets is merely 0. 26,and manmade trade resistances impact export efficiency more than natural resistances do,nevertheless,these impacts vary among different kinds of products,of which,the natural resistances like GDP,population,infrastructure construction,technology gradually diminish,the manmade resistances like contract enforcement,policy transparency,customs clearance convenience and FTA gradually strengthen.

关 键 词：丝绸之路经济带 农产品 随机前沿 贸易效率 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]