后美军时代印度对阿富汗政策的调整  

The Adjustments of India's Policy toward Afghanistan in the Post-US military Era

作　　者：郑迪[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津师范大学政治与行政学院

出　　处：《国际关系研究》2016年第1期120-132,共13页Journal of International Relations

基　　金：天津市教委社会科学重大项目"大国在南亚地区博弈的新态势及中国的应对战略研究"(项目编号:2014ZD26)阶段性成果;天津师范大学2015年"博士研究生学术新人"项目(2015BSXR)的资助

摘　　要：作为阿富汗的重要援助国和南亚首要大国,印度对阿富汗国内局势走向具有相当大的影响。2001年以来,基于自身利益诉求和美国的支持,印度对阿富汗采取的是"软"政策,即主要通过政治和经济手段维护其在阿富汗的利益,扩大其在阿富汗的影响力,但对双边军事合作持谨慎态度。该政策使印度在阿战后的重建过程中发挥了积极作用。由于美国于2014年年底从阿富汗撤出大部分作战部队,阿富汗的国内局势产生诸多新变化,特别是未来可能出现某种不稳定状态,因此印度既有的对阿"软"政策面临挑战。从决定该项政策的两个关键变量来看,印度未来将保持"软"政策的方向和目标,但也会根据新的形势对某些具体内容作出调整。As an important aid donor to Afghanistan and the dominant country in South Asia,India has a considerable influence on the trends of the domestic situation in Afghanistan. Since 2001,based on its own interests and the support of the United States,India has pursued a 'soft'policy toward Afghanistan,i. e.,to safeguard its interests and expand its influence in Afghanistan mainly through political and economic means,but it is cautious about the bilateral military cooperation. The policy makes India play an active role in the reconstruction process in post-war Afghanistan. Because the United States withdrew most combat troops from Afghanistan at the end of 2014,the situation in Afghanistan produced a lot of changes and showed a sign of certain unstable state that may appear in the future in particular,so the existing 'soft'policy of India toward Afghanistan faces challenges. Seen from the two key variables that determine the policy,India will maintain the direction and goals of 'soft'policy in the future,but it will also adjust some specific contents with the new situation.

关 键 词：印度 阿富汗 “软”政策 调整 

分 类 号：D871.2[政治法律—政治学]