城镇化、地方财政支出规模与城乡收入差距——基于面板门槛模型的实证检验  

Urbanization, Local Fiscal Expenditure Scale and Urban-Rural Income Gap——Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Threshold Model

作　　者：邓金钱[1] 何爱平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《管理学刊》2016年第2期35-42,共8页Journal of Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(13BJL091)

摘　　要：基于Hansen的面板门槛模型,采用中国1994—2013年省际面板数据构造非线性面板数据模型,研究城镇化、地方财政支出规模对城乡收入差距的影响。结果表明,城镇化、地方财政支出规模对城乡收入差距的影响存在显著的门槛特征。从城镇化的门槛值来看,城镇化发展并没有促进城乡收入差距收敛,只是其对城乡收入差距的影响强度会下降;从地方财政支出规模的门槛值来看,在低财政强度区间经济增长会缩小城乡收入差距,但是在高财政强度区间经济增长会拉大城乡收入差距。因此,加快发展新型城镇化,调整地方财政支出结构,是缩小城乡收入差距的关键。Based on Hansen＇s Panel Threshold Model, this paper builds a nonlinear panel data model to make a research into the influence of the urbanization and local fiscal expenditure scale on the urban-rural income gap by analyzing the interprovincial panel data from 1994 to 2013. The study shows that the influences of urbanization and local fiscal expenditure scale on the urban-rural income gap have apparent threshold effects. According to the threshold value of urbanization, the urbanization doesn＇t help to narrow the urban-rural income gap, but its influence on the gap declined. According to the threshold value of the local fiscal expenditure scale, the economic growth can help to narrow the urban-rural income gap when it runs at a low financial level but enlarge the gap at a high financial level. So it＇s the key to narrow down the urban-rural income gap to speed up the development of urbanization and make adjustment to the structure of the local fiscal expenditure.

关 键 词：城镇化 地方财政支出规模 城乡收入差距 门槛模型 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济] F124.7F812.45