地下水动态预测模型概述  

Overview on Groundwater Dynamic Prediction Model

作　　者：张海飞[1] 

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学环境与土木工程学院,四川成都610059

出　　处：《地下水》2016年第1期68-70,共3页Ground water

摘　　要：地下水动态预测包括水量、水质和水温预测,介绍常用的地下水动态预测模型水均衡法、确定性模型、随机型模型等的基本原理,分析比较了各个模型的优缺点及适用条件。在实际应用中根据所收集的基础资料和实际情况选择合适的预测模型,应根据模型条件灵活运用,但也不能过于依赖预测模型结果,应根据实际情况加以判断,这样才能达到预期效果,预测精度才能达到要求。The groundwater dynamic prediction includes water quantity,quality,temperature forecast. This paper introduces the basic principles of common groundwater dynamic prediction model for the water balance method,the deterministic models and stochastic models,analyzes and co Mpares the advantages and disadvantages of each model and applicable conditions. In practice,according to collected information and the actual situation,it selects the appropriate forecasting model. And we had better follow the model condition and utilize flexibly,at the same time we should prevent from depending on the model result,connecting the actual situation,we can get the prediction accuracy to meet the requirements.

关 键 词：地下水动态预测 水均衡法 确定性模型 随机性模型 

分 类 号：P641.74[天文地球—地质矿产勘探]