基于模糊综合评判的隐伏陷落柱突水几率研究  

Research on Water-inrush Probability Prediction of Hidden Collapse Column Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

作　　者：董毅[1] 张文泉[1,2] 朱光丽[1] 张贵彬[1] 袁圣秋 

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学矿业与安全工程学院,山东青岛266590 [2]矿山灾害预防与控制国家重点实验室(培育基地),山东青岛266590 [3]煤科集团沈阳研究院有限公司,辽宁抚顺113122

出　　处：《煤炭技术》2016年第4期194-196,共3页Coal Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(41472281)

摘　　要：运用模糊数学原理,建立符合实际的隶属函数,应用层次分析法确定各因素权值,构建了适合隐伏陷落柱这种特殊构造的突水几率综合判别模型。结合安徽淮北地区刘桥一矿工程实例,对该矿A8号陷落柱在采动影响下的突水几率进行了评价。Built a comprehensive discriminant model for the special structure of hidden collapse column to predict the water-inrush probability by using fuzzy mathematics principle. The model included the establishment of practical membership function and the weights of various factors which were determined by the application of analytic hierarchy process（AHP）. At last, applied the model into the engineering project of Liuqiaoyi coal mine in Anhui Huaibei area, through the evaluation of the waterinrush probability under mining effect of A8 collapse column.

关 键 词：隐伏陷落柱 突水几率 层次分析法 模糊综合评判 

分 类 号：TD745[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]