城市道路交通安全综合风险预警控制研究  

Research on integrated warning control of urban traffic safety risks

作　　者：赵学刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]山西警官高等专科学校交通管理系

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2016年第2期158-163,共6页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：山西省哲学社会科学"十二五"规划2014年度课题;山西省社科联重点课题(SSKLZDKT2014103)

摘　　要：为了探究城市道路交通安全风险的动态控制方法,应用道路交通安全风险、系统控制和管理控制等理论,构建城市道路交通安全综合风险控制系统。在此基础上,应用反馈系统理论与方法,研究该系统的基本组成、预警反馈控制基本原理、控制流程及控制运行管理体系。结果表明:城市道路交通安全综合风险控制系统的预警反馈控制机制由4个基本功能单元组成,系统预警控制运行管理体系具有4个层级;通过构建城市道路交通安全综合风险控制系统,应用系统综合风险动态评价、偏差报警等技术,能够建立系统跟踪反馈预警机制;借助系统预警控制运行管理体系,能够实现对风险的系统动态控制。In order to explore a way of controlling dynamically and systematically urban traffic safety risks,an integrated risk control system was constructed by applying traffic safety risk theory,cybernetics,and management control theory. On this basis,the basic principle,main composing units of the system,the controlling procedures and the operation management system of warning feedback control were also researched by applying feedback system theory. It shows that the system warning feedback control mechanism is composed of four basic units,that a four-level management system for warning control can be constructed,that a systematic tracking feedback mechanism can be formed to realize warning control by dynamically evaluating the system integrated risks,and that urban traffic safety risks can be controlled dynamically and systematically by using the system.

关 键 词：城市道路交通安全 综合风险控制系统 反馈机制 预警控制 运行管理体系 

分 类 号：X951[环境科学与工程—安全科学]