政府支出结构、分权通道与居民消费  

Government Expenditure Structure,Decentralization Channel and Private Consumption

作　　者：贺俊[1] 刘亮亮[1] 张玉娟[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术大学管理学院,安徽合肥230026 [2]安徽建筑大学管理学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2016年第4期28-33,共6页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<基于内生经济增长理论的中国式财政分权效应研究>(71573240)

摘　　要：在连续时间模型基础上考虑将经济建设类支出、社会性支出以及一般性支出嵌入到内生增长模型中,研究政府支出结构与居民消费之间的动态关系。为了验证理论结果在实际经济中的适应性,利用中国2001—2013年31个省区的面板数据,考察政府公共支出结构对居民消费的影响。经验研究发现:经济建设类支出、社会性支出对居民消费存在挤入效应;一般性支出对居民消费存在挤出效应。同时,在此基础上引进财政分权变量,研究政府公共支出通过分权通道如何影响居民消费,结果发现透过分权通道,社会性支出的作用被增强,而经济建设类支出和一般性支出的作用被削弱。Firstly,this article embeds economic construction expenditure,social expenditure and regular expenditure into endogenous growth model based on the continuous-time model,researches the dynamic relationship between government expenditure structure and private consumption.Then,in order to verify the theoretical results in the actual economy adaptability,this article uses the China＇s provincial panel data from 2001 to 2013to investigate the influence of the government public expenditure structure on private consumption,the empirical studies show that economic construction expenditure,social expenditure are crowding-in-effects on consumption,regular expenditure is crowding-out-effect on consumption.In addition,this paper introduces fiscal decentralization variable on the basis of it to research government public expenditure influences private consumption through the decentralization channel,it is found that the role of social expenditure is enhanced,and the role of constructive expenditure and general expenditure are weakened through decentralization channel.

关 键 词：内生增长 政府支出 财政分权 居民消费 

分 类 号：F812.0[经济管理—财政学]