基于目标导向的矿业城市新型城镇化风险识别  

Risk identification in the process of new type urbanization of mining cities based on goal-orientation

作　　者：刘海滨[1] 曹丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《中国矿业》2016年第4期46-50,共5页China Mining Magazine

摘　　要：文章采用基于目标导向的风险识别方法,在总结与分析新型城镇化、资源型城市转型发展、资源型城市可持续发展等评价指标体系的基础上,对矿业城市的新型城镇化建设过程进行风险识别,辨识出了经济风险、社会风险、政治风险、生态风险等四大类风险,共包括41项风险因素,运用德尔菲法进行确认,构建了矿业城市新型城镇化建设风险因素体系。通过调查问卷的形式进行实证分析,并对调查的数据进行了探索性检验与验证性检验,剔除了6个影响量表信度与效度的因素,最终保留了35项风险因素,作为矿业城市新型城镇化建设的风险识别因素。The article identifies the risks in the process of new urbanization of mining cities, based on the goal oriented risk identification method and Delphi method, according to the evaluation index systems of new type of urbanization, transformation development of resources city and sustainable development of the resources city. To identify four kinds of risks including economic risk, social risk, political risk and ecological risk, consists of 41 risk factors,constructing the system of risk factors of new urbanization construction of the mining city. The article takes empirical analysis in the form of the questionnaire, and the data of investigation has carried on the exploratory test and verification test, excluding 6 factors that influence the reliability and validity of the scale, finally retained 35 risk factors, as the risk identification factors of new urbanization construction of mining cities.

关 键 词：矿业城市 新型城镇化 目标导向 风险识别 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]