肇庆地区近60年气温变化特征分析  

Analysis of the Characteristics of Temperature Variations over the Past 60 Years in Zhaoqing Area

作　　者：史成 杨守懋 李厚伟 郑仕友 杨越峰[3] 

机构地区：[1]四会市气象局 [2]肇庆市气象局 [3]中国人民解放军91395部队

出　　处：《广东气象》2016年第2期34-36,共3页Guangdong Meteorology

摘　　要：利用肇庆站1954—2010年气温资料,通过滑动平均、线性倾向估计、Mann-Kendal检验、小波周期分析法等对该地区气温变化的区域差异和突变特征进行分析,结果表明:肇庆地区各月气温的变化属于标准的正态分布,4季温度均有升温趋势,年均温度以每10年0.18℃的速率增长,根据不同的时间段,肇庆地区的年平均气温有7、9以及15年的周期变化趋势。Using the data of air temperature from 1954 to 2010 at the station of Zhaoqing, we studied its regional difference and abrupt changes using the methods of running average, linear tendency, Mann- Kendal test and wavelet periods. The result is shown as follows. In the Zhaoqing area, monthly temperature varies in a standard normalized distribution, with a trend of increasing in all of the four seasons; its annual mean temperature grows at a rate of 0.18℃ every 10 years. For different sections of time, the annual mean temperature varies with periodic variations of 7, 9 and 15 years.

关 键 词：气候学 气温变化特征 Mann—Kendal检验 小波周期分析 肇庆 

分 类 号：P46[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]