区域物流效率评价及其空间效应研究  

Regional Logistics Efficiency Evaluation and Spatial Effects Study

作　　者：唐建荣 徐媛媛 杜聪 

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡214122

出　　处：《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第2期3-14,共12页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究"(71301061);教育部人文社科基金"区域性碳交易平台的系统研究"(11YJAZH084);中央高校专项(2015JDZD11);江苏省研究生培养创新工程项目(SJLX_0538)

摘　　要：基于城市物流的投入产出指标,借助Malmquist非参数指数模型和ESDA探索性数据分析,从时空分布上对2006—2013年江苏省13个地级市的物流业全要素生产率进行实证分析。研究结果表明:在时间分布上,考察期内江苏省城市物流全要素生产率实现了平均6.2%的负向增长率,技术进步-7%的负向"增长效应"是其下降的源头,纯技术效率和规模效率分别提升0.1%和0.8%,共同促进效率改善的"追赶效应"达到0.9%的正向增长力。在空间分布上,苏南、苏北和苏中等三大区域的全要素生产率差异显著,呈中部"塌陷"南北梯度下降趋势;区域物流全要素生产率在空间地理分布上有严重的路径依赖性,具有明显的集聚性和低流动性的特征,各个市域若要脱离原来的集群存在一定的困难。据此提出撬动城市物流业可持续发展的可行性措施。Based on the input - output index of the urban logistics, make an empirical analys is about the temporal - spatio distribution of 13 cities in jiangsu province from 2003 to 2012 total factor productivity of the logistics industry by using the method of Malmquist and ESDA . The research results show that from the temporal distribution, the inspection period city logistics achieved an average of 6.2% negative growth in total factor pro- ductivity, Technological progress - 7% negative growth effect is the driving force of its decline, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency in- crease 0.1% and 0.8% respectively accelerate the ＂catch - up effect ＂of the efficiency improvement to achieve positive growth of 0.9%. From the spatial distribution, the seuthem jiangsu, middle and north jiangsu area have a significant difference in total factor productivity, TFP showed a trend of ＂collapse＂ north - south gradient descent in central; Regional Logistics TFP in space geographic distribution serious path dependence, with sig- nificant clustering and low flow characteristics of each city region you want from the original cluster, there are some difficulties; From the perspective of tinle and space, proposing leveraging feasible measures for sustainable development of uran logistics.

关 键 词：区域物流 效率 DEA-MALMQUIST ESDA 

分 类 号：F713.1[经济管理—产业经济]