农户风险和时间偏好对森林碳汇经营意愿的影响分析  

The Influence of Risk and Time Preference on the Farmer's Willingness to Manage Forestry Carbon Sinks

作　　者：白江迪 沈月琴[1] 朱臻[1] 舒斌[1] 娄浩峰 

机构地区：[1]浙江农林大学经济管理学院,浙江临安311300 [2]浙江农林大学集贤学院,浙江临安311300

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2016年第1期72-78,共7页Issues of Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71203198);国家自然科学基金面上项目(71073148);浙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(15NDJC201YB)

摘　　要：基于农户调查数据,利用实验经济学方法测量农户的风险偏好类型和时间偏好系数,根据行为经济学理论和Ologit模型研究风险偏好和时间偏好对农户森林碳汇经营意愿的影响。结果表明:与风险厌恶者相比,风险中性者对森林碳汇经营意愿有显著负影响;时间偏好对森林碳汇经营意愿有显著负影响。即风险厌恶者和时间偏好低的农户更愿意开展森林碳汇经营项目。Based on the theory of behavioral economics, experimental economics and Ologit model, this research measures the impact of risk preference type and time preference rate on the farmer＇s will- ingness to manage forest carbon sequestration, using the survey data of peasant households. Results are as followings： compared with the risk averse, risk neutral has a negative effect on forest carbon se- questration significantly; time preference also has a negative effect on forest carbon sequestration sig- nificantly. It indicates that the farmers with risk averse and stronger time preference is more willing to run the forest carbon sinks.

关 键 词：风险偏好 时间偏好 森林碳汇 

分 类 号：F326.24[经济管理—产业经济]