中国外商投资影响对外投资的地区差异及门槛效应  

Regional Difference and Threshold Effect of IFDI on OFDI in China

作　　者：李洪英[1,2] 李京文[1] 刘文丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经管学院,北京100124 [2]河北科技大学经管学院,河北石家庄050018

出　　处：《东北大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第3期240-246,269,共8页Journal of Northeastern University(Social Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71273021);北京市自然科学基金资助项目(9132001);北京市教委社会科学重点资助项目(SZ201510005002)

摘　　要：以2003—2013年中国31个省区市的面板数据为样本,利用计量方程验证了IFDI对OFDI的影响具有地区差异性;运用门槛模型发现IFDI对OFDI的影响存在门槛效应,且影响因素IFDI规模、人均GDP和人均出口都具有双重门槛。研究结果表明:IFDI对OFDI的影响作用,以全国数据为样本并不明显,而以区域数据为样本则表现为差异性较大的促进作用,且中部地区作用最大,东部次之,西部最小。运用双重门槛模型发现只有当IFDI规模、人均出口适中,人均GDP较高时,IFDI对OFDI的促进作用才会最大。据此提出了有利于中国"引进来"促进"走出去"的对策建议。The regional difference of IFDI on OFDI was analyzed by using the provincial panel data from 2003 to 2013 in China.The double threshold effect of IFDI on OFDI was found based on the threshold model.Moreover,IFDI scale,per capita GDP and per capita export all have a double threshold effect.The results showed that the effect of IFDI on OFDI was not remarkable based on the total samples,but there were significantly different promoting effects of IFDI on OFDI based on the samples of eastern,middle and western regions.The middle region exerts the biggest effect followed by the eastern and the western regions. According to the double threshold model,the promoting effect of IFDI on OFDI was the strongest in condition of medium-sized IFDI scale,medium-sized per capita export and higher per capita GDP. Accordingly, some suggestions were put forward which may promote “bringing in”and “going out”countermeasures.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 对外直接投资 地区差异 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F831.7[经济管理—金融学]