台商在闽农业投资与闽台农产品贸易关系研究  

Dynamic relationship between Taiwan businessmen's investment in Fujian agriculture industry and agricultural products trade between Fujian and Taiwan

作　　者：陈燕翎[1,2] 庄佩芬[2] 

机构地区：[1]福建工程学院管理学院,福建福州350118 [2]福建农林大学经济学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《福建工程学院学报》2016年第1期62-66,共5页Journal of Fujian University of Technology

基　　金：福建省教育厅中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS150378)

摘　　要：采用向量自回归模型(vector auto regression model,VAR),对台商在闽农业直接投资与闽台农产品贸易的关系进行研究。实证结果表明:台商在闽农业直接投资是推动闽台农产品贸易发展的格兰杰原因,台商在闽农业投资对福建省出口农产品到台湾地区有促进作用;该投资对福建省自台湾地区进口农产品在短期内具有一定的替代效应,但是在长期具有促进效应。闽台应进一步加大开放力度,寻找高效合作模式,创建良好投资环境,以更大程度地发挥台商农业投资的经济增长效应。The relationship between Taiwan businessmen＇s direct investment in Fujian agriculture industry and agricultural products trade between Fujian and Taiwan is investigated based on vector auto regression（ VAR） model. It is proved that Taiwan businessmen＇s direct investment in Fujian agriculture industry is Granger causality for promoting the development of agricultural products trade between Fujian and Taiwan. Taiwan businessmen＇s investment in Fujian promotes Taiwan region＇s agricultural products exportation to Fujian,substituting part of agricultural products importation from Taiwan region in the short run,but will promote it in the long run. It is maintained that Fujian and Taiwan should enhance openness,search for effective cooperation model,create favourable investment environment and make advantage of economical promotion effect of Taiwan investment.

关 键 词：台商投资 农产品贸易 向量自回归模型 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]