中国港口时空格局演变及影响因素分析  

Spatio-temporal pattern evolution and factorial analysis on ports in China

作　　者：孙世达 姜巍[1] 高卫东[1] 

机构地区：[1]济南大学资源与环境学院,济南250022

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2016年第2期62-71,共10页World Regional Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金(13YJC790059;14YJCZH087);山东省优秀中青年科学家科研奖励基金(BS2012SF001);山东省教育厅人文社科项目(J12WG59);济南大学教学研究项目(J1257)共同资助

摘　　要：港口是水路运输的枢纽和重要节点,对区域经济的发展起着重要作用。以我国规模以上港口为研究对象,运用指数分析与齐夫定律对近年来我国港口规模的区域差异、等级规模变化进行分析,通过灰色关联度模型确定影响港口规模的主要因素,结果发现:我国港口吞吐量增长迅速,以外贸运输为主;港口规模的区域差异与规模等级差异逐步缩小,各港口吞吐量呈现位序-规模分布,分形结构由单分形转为双分形,齐夫参数呈下降趋势;不同省级行政单元经济水平对港口规模影响存在差异,分为区域拉动型、外向经济型、腹地中转型和补充导向型。Ports play an important role in transporting system in China, having significant influence on regional economy development. Indexes analysis and Zipf＇s law were used to measure the difference of regional and the change of hierarchical size structure in scale of large-capacity ports from 1995 to2013. The results showed that port throughput in China had been increasing rapidly, and foreign trade exportation is dominant in the development. Theil Index and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index analysis showed that the throughput gap between regional ports decrease, and port primary index analysis indicated that difference of hierarchical size structure had been narrowing. Port throughput have rank-size distribution, and fractal structure had been changing from single fractal to double fractal, Zipf parameter of these ports decreased. Grey relativity analysis showed that the main factors of port throughput were diverse in different provinces, and these provinces can be divided into four styles, including regional pull, extroverted economy, hinterland transformation and supplementary orientation.

关 键 词：港口 时空格局 吞吐量 影响因素 

分 类 号：F552[经济管理—产业经济]