供给侧结构性改革:经济发展的必然选择  

The Supply Side Reform: The Inevitable Choice of Economic Development

作　　者：文建东[1,2] 宋斌[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济发展研究中心 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《新疆师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2016年第2期20-27,共8页Journal of Xinjiang Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：教育部社科基金重大项目"中国转型期社会诚信体系与经济发展关系研究"(06JJD790024)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：文本区分了经济增长的三种形式,指出改革开放30年中国处于全速的经济增长。进入新常态后,中国经济供求开始失衡,出现产能过剩,抑制了生产潜能的增长。让经济增长处于不断增长的生产潜能水平,必须进行供给侧结构性改革,以鼓励创新创业。供给侧结构性改革成功的前提是通过基础性的制度改革为人们提供稳定可预期的环境。文本首先认为,中国是一个转型经济,经济发展与凯恩斯主义和供给学派无关;最后利用经济增长理论预测,若供给侧结构性改革成功,中国经济可以维持相当长时间的中高速经济增长,最终和发达国家趋同。This essay defines three patterns of economic growth to summarize economic growth history. It points out that the China＇s economic growth in the first three decades since the reform and opening up can be described as a full-speed one.Since the so-called New Normal Economy comes, China＇s economy become imbalanced, leading to excess capacity of production and restricting the growth speed of the production potential. In order to achieve growth consistent with the potential capacity expansion in the future, we need supply side reform to encourage innovation and entrepreneurship. For the supply side reform to be successful,a long-run stable and expectable environment is needed for economic agents,which should be brought through fundamental institutional reform. In addition, it is argued that, as a transitional economy, China＇s economy has nothing to do with either Keynesian economics or supply side economics. Finally,it is predicted that,on the basis of the success of the supply side reform, China can enjoy a high speed growth for a long time until it finally converges with the developed countries.

关 键 词：供给侧结构性改革 制度改革 经济增长 经济增长方式转型 经济增长趋同 

分 类 号：F01[经济管理—政治经济学]