城镇化影响消费需求的动态路径  

Dynamic path of influencing consumption demanding by urbanization

作　　者：石大千[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院

出　　处：《城市问题》2016年第5期69-73,97,共6页Urban Problems

摘　　要：基于1995-2012年的省级面板数据,从实证分析的角度建立了面板VAR模型,通过脉冲响应分析揭示了城镇化带动消费的四条路径。同时,方差分解结果进一步验证了各中间变量对消费贡献度的强弱。在此基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。This essay establishes VAR model based on 1995 -2012 provincial- level panel data, and through impulse response analysis reveals four paths in which urbanization drives consumption. Meanwhile, variance decomposition results further validate the strength of the intermediate variables to explain the contribution of consumption. Finally this essay presents some policy recommendations based on the results.

关 键 词：城镇化 消费 杠杆作用 乘数 累积效应 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]