金融产业发展影响因素的国际比较——基于非竞争投入产出法  

International Comparison of the Factors Affecting the Development of Financial Industry: Based on the Non-competitive Input-output Method

作　　者：贾利军[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海大学悉尼工商学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2016年第5期18-29,134,共12页World Economy Studies

摘　　要：在全球价值链下，全球经济和生产网络的专业化分工向纵深化发展。文章基于WIOD数据库1996～2011年的投入产出表，将影响中、美、俄三国金融产业发展的因素从需求结构的角度分解为价格、中间投入、居民消费、政府消费、出口、进口六个方面进行实证分析。进一步地，对中间投入从产业结构角度进行分解，研究三国金融业与其他产业之间的相互联系。结果显示，中间投入是三国金融业发展的主要因素，但中间投入的来源产业却不尽相同；居民消费和价格这两个因素与三国金融业的发展也有紧密联系，对中国均表现为促进作用，而居民消费对美国以及价格对俄罗斯则表现出反向的关系；政府消费只对俄罗斯起着重大影响；从相互影响看，中美两国金融业之间的相互投入较大，而俄罗斯金融业和中美两国联系较弱。Under the background of global value chains,specialization of the global economic and production networks has developed in depth. Links between countries are becoming increasingly close. Based on the 1996 ~ 2011 input-output table,this paper decomposes the influencing factors of financial industry into price,intermediate inputs,household consumption,government consumption,exports and imports,and processes the quantitative comparison between China,the US and Russia. The paper also conducts industrial segments for intermediate inputs to study linkages among the three countries. The results indicate that intermediate input is the main factor of financial sector development; household consumption and prices also have substantial impacts,and they both show positive roles in China,while household consumption playing inhibiting effects on the US and prices do so on Russia respectively. However,government consumption only plays a major impact on Russian financial sector,with nearly no effect on other two countries. Besides,mutual investment between China and the US financial sector is massive,and links between Russia and the other two countries are feeble.

关 键 词：金融产业 投入产出 结构分解 

分 类 号：F831[经济管理—金融学]