全要素生产率变动与日本经济长期萧条  

Total Factor Productivity Fluctuation and Japan's Long-term Economic Recession

作　　者：梁军[1] 赵青[2] 

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学日本经济研究中心,山东日照276826 [2]曲阜师范大学图书馆,山东日照276826

出　　处：《日本问题研究》2016年第2期11-21,共11页Japanese Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金教育学一般课题(BFA150039);山东省自然科学基金课题(ZR2013GL003)

摘　　要：20世纪90年代初期以来,日本经济陷入了萧条漩涡,剖析导致日本经济长期萧条的深层次原因成为学术界研究的热点。实证分析表明,与20世纪80年代相比,90年代以来日本的全要素生产率呈现出相对下降趋势。微观生产效率和要素配置效率的下降是导致日本全要素生产率增速下降的重要原因。微观生产效率下降主要是自主创新能力不足与国际市场份额萎缩导致企业技术进步减缓所致,要素配置效率下降主要源于结构调整滞后造成要素难以从低效率产业和企业转移到高效率产业和企业。全要素生产率增速下降抑制了潜在产出的增长,并与需求不足引发的产出缺口一道,导致了日本经济的长期萧条。在中国目前提出供给侧管理的背景下,研究日本全要素生产率的变动、原因及其对日本经济的影响,对于步入新常态的中国实现经济的持续健康发展,具有重要的现实参考意义。Since the beginning of 1990s,Japanese economy has stuck in a recession,therefore the analysis of underlying causes of this long-term economic recession in Japan has become a hot spot for research of the academia. Empirical analysis shows that,total factor productivity of Japan in 1990s,compared with that in 1980s, displays a descending trend. The descending of Japan＇s total factor productivity attributes to the de- cline of microscopic production efficiency and factors allocation efficiency. The main reason of declining mi- croscopic production efficiency is the sluggish technological progress which is caused by shortage of inde- pendent innovation capability and shrinking international market shares. It＇s difficult to transform the fac- tors from low efficient industry and enterprises to high efficient ones which is resulted by the retardation of structural adjustment, therefore factors allocation efficiency drops. Japan＇s total factor productivity im- pacts restrictions on the growth of potential output,and the output gap is produced by the lack of demand, both of which leads to the long-term economic recession in Japan. Under the background of promoting management in supply side in China,we should probe into Japan＇s total factor productivity fluctuation,its causes and impacts on Japanese economy. It is of practical significance for the healthy and sustainable de- velopment of Chinese economy which is stepping into a new normal.

关 键 词：日本经济 全要素生产率 潜在产出 微观生产效率 要素配置效率 

分 类 号：F1[经济管理—世界经济]