拉美经济一体化的发展与趋势研究——基于商业周期相关分析  

A Research on Development and Trends of Latin American Economic Integration——Based on Relative Analysis of Comercial Cycle

作　　者：俞培果[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南科技大学经济管理学院,四川绵阳621010

出　　处：《西南科技大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2016年第2期1-12,共12页Journal of Southwest University of Science and Technology:Philosophy and Social Science Edition

基　　金：教育部国别研究基地"西南科技大学拉美研究中心"项目成果(项目编号为12sxlp21)

摘　　要：迄今,拉美经济一体化研究的中文文献已经不少,然而,对于拉美经济一体化的发展轨迹与趋势研究基本是以所发生的事件和贸易数据为依据进行的,由于贸易一体化仅仅是经济一体化的一部分,以及所发生的事件对于经济一体化影响程度不同,以至于今天我们对拉美经济一体化的发展与趋势还难以勾勒出一幅清晰的图景。采用以商业周期相关性为基础的动态分析方法,可以反映经济一体化各个方面的综合效果。So far, there has been a lot of Chinese literatures of research on economic integration in Latin America, however, the researches on track and trend of economic integration development of Latin Ameri- ca are essentially based on the basic events happened and trade data, because the trade integration is only one part of economic integration, as well as the influence level of events on economic integration are dif- ferent, so that today it is difficult to paint a clear picture of development and trend of economic integration in Latin America. The research adopts a dynamic analysis method based on business cycle correlation, which can reflect the combined effect of the various aspects of economic integration.

关 键 词：拉丁美洲 经济一体化 商业周期相关 

分 类 号：F114.46[经济管理—国际贸易]