石化行业化石燃料消费量与碳排放的相关性研究——以辽宁省为例  

Study on the Correlation of the Petrochemical Industry of Fossil Fuel Consumption and Carbon Emissions: Taking Liaoning Province as an Example

作　　者：于丹[1] 赵丽洲[1] 王博[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁石油化工大学经济管理学院,辽宁抚顺113000

出　　处：《生态经济》2016年第6期48-51,62,共5页Ecological Economy

基　　金：教育部重大项目研究"辽宁省碳交易市场发展现状及对策探究"(W2013067)

摘　　要：在统计数据库的数据基础之上,运用计量经济学的方法对石化行业的消费量与二氧化碳排放量进行了相关性分析,通过ADF单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数、方差分解等检验方法得到变量之间的协整关系,研究结果表明二氧化碳排放量与GDP之间呈现正相关关系,相关系数为0.086,二氧化碳排放量与化石燃料的消费量呈现负相关关系,相关系数为-1.072。Based on the data of the statistical database, the article uses the econometric methods to analyze the correlation between consumption and carbon dioxide emissions through the ADF unit root test, co-integration test, Granger causality test, impulse response function, square difference decomposition and other test methods. The results show that carbon dioxide emissions and GDP is positive correlation, and the correlation coefficient is 0.086. Carbon dioxide emissions and fossil fuel consumption is negative correlation, and the correlation coefficient is -1.072.

关 键 词：石化行业 化石燃料消费量 碳排放 相关性 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]