基于地统计分析的三峡库区农业发展的空间分布特征研究  

Study on spatial distribution characteristics of agricultural development in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,based on the statistical analysis of geography

作　　者：胡江霞[1,2] 文传浩[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆400067 [2]重庆三峡职业学院经贸系,重庆万州404155

出　　处：《河南农业大学学报》2016年第2期248-253,共6页Journal of Henan Agricultural University

基　　金：国家社科基金重大招标项目(11&ZD161);国家社科基金项目(14CJL031);重庆市教委人文社科研究项目(14SKS50);教育部人文社科基地重大项目(11JJD790026);部省共建人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(14JJD790005)

摘　　要：为了探索三峡库区农业经济发展的空间分布特征,同时避免库区的贫困化,进而从经济地理维度来探寻农业经济发展的动力机制,找到科学决策的支撑点。采用地统计分析工具GEODA95i、ARGIS9.3,对三峡库区重庆段的22个区县2004—2012年农业发展状况进行了总体和局部的空间布局分析。结果表明:1)三峡库区总体空间布局。在东西方向上,农业GDP增加值的拟合值呈现的倒U型,即中部农业发展水平高,东部农业发展水平远远高于西部;在南北方向上,三峡库区北部的农业发展水平略高于南部。2)三峡库区局部空间布局。三峡库区高高集聚类型的区域主要位于三峡库区的中部,低低集聚类型的区域主要位于重庆主城的九龙坡区、沙坪坝等区域。低高区域与高低区域大部分分布在库区南部地区。In order to explore the spatial distribution of agricultural economic development in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,at the same time,to avoid poverty in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,the paper analyzed the dynamical mechanism of agricultural economic development in terms of economic geography,to find proof for scientific decision. This paper analyzed the overall spatial layout and local spatial layout of 2004 to 2012 agricultural development in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,by using the statistical analysis tools of GEODA95 i,ARGIS9. 3. The results are as follows：firstly,the overall spatial layout of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area are as follows：from the West to the east,the fitted values of agricultural GDP increased value is an inverted U type,the level of the agricultural development in the middle of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area is high,and the level of agricultural development in theEast of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area is much higher than that in the West. From the north to the south,the level of agricultural development in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area is slightly higher than that in the south. Secondly,the local spatial layout are as follows：the area of high concentration in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area is located in the middle of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area,Jiulongpo,Shapingba and other regional types of low concentration areas are mainly located in the main city areas of Chongqing. And most of the low-high areas and high-low areas are located in the south of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area.

关 键 词：三峡库区 农业GDP 地统计分析 空间分析 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]