水库汛限水位动态控制域确定方法研究发展动态综述  

Review on the Methods of Fixing Dynamic Control Range of Reservoir Water Level in Flood Season

作　　者：任明磊[1,2] 何晓燕[1,2] 丁留谦[1,2] 杨帆[3] 李辉[1,2] 张洪斌[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038 [2]水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京100038 [3]北京工业大学建设工程学院,北京100124

出　　处：《水力发电》2016年第6期61-65,共5页Water Power

基　　金：中国水利水电科学研究院国际水利水电科技发展动态调研专项(JZ0145C102015);国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(51509268);江西省洪水预报调度系统及防汛辅助支持系统软件开发项目;水利部公益性行业科研专项(201201054)

摘　　要：水库汛限水位动态控制域确定方法是动态控制研究的关键内容,亦是动态控制方案实施的基础。通过系统总结(改进)预泄能力约束法、防洪预报调度方式及规则设计方法、库容补偿法、考虑年内洪水时序变化规律的统计分析法、分级预泄法、综合信息决策支持表法等水库汛限水位动态控制域确定的主要方法,评述各方法的主要特点及适用条件,提出了汛限水位动态控制域确定方法尚需深入研究的关键性问题,以期推动水库汛限水位动态控制域确定方法的全面应用,扩大其研究应用范围。The methods of fixing the dynamic control range of reservoir water level in flood season is the key content of the research of dynamic control of reservoir water level,and also is the foundation of carrying out dynamic control scheme.Main fixing methods are systematically summarized herein,including（improved） the method of pre-discharge capacity constraining,the method of flood forecasting and operating mode and rules designing,the method of reservoir storage compensation,the statistical analysis method considering the variation rule of flood time series,the method of grading pre-discharge,and the method of comprehensive information decision supporting table.The main characteristics and applied conditions of each method are also reviewed.As above mentioned,in order to promote the overall application of fixing methods and expand the pilot application scope,some key issues need to be researched in future concerning fixing methods are finally proposed.

关 键 词：汛限水位 动态控制域 预泄能力约束 预报调度 分级预泄 

分 类 号：TV697.1[水利工程—水利水电工程]