水电站施工现场人员安全管理水平的系统动力学分析  

System Dynamics Analysis of Personnel Safety Management Level in Construction Site of Hydropower Station

作　　者：鲍威[1] 陶玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《水力发电》2016年第6期77-79,共3页Water Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271107);国家社科基金资助项目(15BGL094)

摘　　要：为了动态、有效地分析水电站施工现场人员伤亡事故发生的机理,以人员伤亡事故率作为施工现场人员安全管理水平的指标,识别出关键影响因素,利用VENSIM建模软件构建一个施工现场人员安全管理系统动力学流图。从系统的角度出发,对人员伤亡事故进行探讨,研究引起人员伤亡事故的主要因素,分析水电站施工现场人员安全管理水平提升路径,以期通过不同安全投入方案与安全管理水平的反馈形成系统的良性循环机制。In order to get a dynamic and effective analysis on casualties mechanism of hydropower station construction site,the casualties rate is taken as the indicator of construction site personnel safety management level to identify key influence factors,and then a system dynamics flow diagram construction site personnel safety management level is constructed by using VENSIM modeling software.From the view of system point,the mechanism of casualties is explored to find the main factors causing casualties.By analyzing the upgrade path of personnel safety management level at the construction site of hydropower station,a virtuous circle mechanism system through the feedback of different investment in safety programs and safety management level is expected to be formed.

关 键 词：水电站 施工现场 安全管理 系统动力学 

分 类 号：X915.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TV74[水利工程—水利水电工程]