城市廉租住房保障时间及家庭特征研究——基于生存分析视角  

The Study of Urban Low-rent Housing's Guarantee Time and Family Characteristics: Based on the Survival Analysis

作　　者：崔光灿[1] 姜巧[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海师范大学房地产与城市发展研究中心,上海200234

出　　处：《人口与经济》2016年第3期1-10,共10页Population & Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"住房保障家庭福利依赖及经济自助行为研究"(71473166)

摘　　要：为了研究廉租住房保障时间及其主要影响因素,运用生命表方法和Cox比例风险模型对一项廉租住房家庭的抽样调查数据进行分析,发现廉租住房保障时间具有长期性,超过5年的概率为66.9%。廉租住房家庭规模小、婚姻不稳定、享受住房补贴大、其他生活开支大、居住在郊区等特征将增加其享受住房保障的时间;而申请时零就业的家庭,因其就业人口增加,退出住房保障的概率更高。因此,廉租住房制度应注重居住的稳定性,同时需要加大对住房保障家庭就业的支持力度,增加家庭的就业人口,减少对住房保障的依赖,实现其经济自助。In order to study the housing assistance time and its influencing factors,a housing assistance recipients ＇ survey data is analyzed using the life table method and Cox proportional hazards models. The result shows that the recipients enjoy long-term housing assistance,and the probability that they can enjoy it for more than five years is 66. 9%. The small scale,the unstable marriage relationship,the large housing subsidies,and the downtown families will all lead to a longer assistance time, while families with no employment population are more likely to exit assistance as the employment population increasing. Thus,housing assistance policy should pay attention to the stability of living. Meanwhile,we should introduce more supportive policies for the recipients＇ employment,increasing the employment members,reducing the reliance on the housing assistance,and realizing the economic self-sufficiency.

关 键 词：住房保障 保障时间 生存分析 

分 类 号：F632.1[经济管理—产业经济]