粮食生产支持补贴政策的宏观作用效果分析——基于动态面板数据模型  

Effects Analysis of Grains Production Subsidies Policy:Based on Dynamic Panel Data Model

作　　者：张慧琴[1,2] 韩晓燕[1] 吕杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳农业大学经济管理学院,辽宁沈阳110161 [2]黑龙江八一农垦大学经济管理学院,黑龙江大庆163319

出　　处：《经济问题》2016年第6期79-84,共6页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71303160);国家公益性农业科研专项(201103001);辽宁省特聘教授专项支持计划;辽宁省科技攻关计划资助项目"辽宁省农村科技特派模式及现代农业发展战略研究"

摘　　要：利用我国27个省份作为横截面单元,以其2003-2013年的样本数据建立动态面板模型,对我国粮食补贴政策及财政支农支出的粮食生产作用效果进行总体和分区实证分析。结果表明:从全国宏观层面看,粮食补贴政策的实施、财政支农以及农村固定资产投资等因素都对粮食生产有显著影响;从粮食主产区和非主产区层面看,财政支农支出和粮食补贴政策实施对主产区和非主产区都有明显的影响效果,但主产区偏重于粮食价格和生产资料价格政策的影响,而非主产区侧重于农村固定资产投资和产业结构的影响。因此,在调整和改革粮食生产支持政策时,应关注宏观总体和不同区域的政策响应效果,提升农业政策导向作用。The 27 provinces in China as a cross sectional unit,the paper established dynamic panel data model to the sample data 2003- 2013 years,and analyzed on grain production effect of China＇s grain supporting and subsidy policy. The result showed that from the macro level,the grain subsidy policy implementation,financial support for agriculture and rural fixed assets investment factors,have significant influence on grain production; in major grain producing areas and non main producing region level,the fiscal expenditure on supporting agriculture and commissariat allowance policy implementation have an obvious effect on the main producing and non producing areas,but main producing areas of emphasis on the impact of grain prices and production material price policy,rather than the main producing areas of focus on the impact of rural fixed assets investment and industrial structure.Therefore,the support policy of adjustment and the reform of the grain production should be attention to the overall macro and different regions of the policy response to enhance the role of agricultural policy oriented.

关 键 词：粮食产量 粮食种植面积 粮食补贴政策 

分 类 号：F307.11[经济管理—产业经济]