房价水平对区域工业结构调整的影响:促进还是抑制——全国36个大中城市样本的实证检验  

The Effect of Housing Price Level on Industrial Structure Adjustment——Empirical Research Based on Large and Medium Sized Cities in China

作　　者：毛丰付[1] 王建生[1] 毛璐琪 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《现代财经（天津财经大学学报）》2016年第6期89-102,113,共15页Modern Finance and Economics：Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71273235);中国博士后基金项目(2014M550942);钱江人才计划项目(QJC1302014)

摘　　要：住房价格变化不仅对区际产业结构产生影响,而且对区域工业内部结构产生影响,而这一点较少被触及。本文以包含房价的CP模型为基础,运用2001-2011年中国36个大中城市41个工业行业的相关数据,考察房价变动对资本密集型和劳动密集型行业调整的影响。研究发现:从短期看,房价上涨对劳动密集型行业有促进作用,对资本密集型行业有抑制作用;从长期看,这两种效应刚好相反。分区域来看,东部地区与全国变化趋势一致,中西部地区无论长短期,房价上涨都对劳动密集型产业有促进作用,对资本密集型产业有抑制作用。The changes of housing price not only affect the regional industrial structure, but alsoaffect the internal structure of the regional industry. Based on the CP model and using the data of 41 industrial sectors of China＇s 36 large and medium cities in China from 2001 to 2011, this paperstudied the impact of house price changes on capital intensive and labor intensive industry adjust-ment. The study found that： in the short term, rising house prices has a role in promoting the laborintensive industries, and curbing the capital intensive industries＇ development; in the long run,these two effects are just the opposite. Partition domain, the eastern region is consistent with thenational change trend. For the central and western regions, regardless of the short and long term,rising house prices has a role in promoting the labor intensive industries, and curbing the capital intensive industries development.

关 键 词：房价水平 工业结构 劳动密集型行业 资本密集型行业 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]