技术效率视角下的上海市物流业二氧化碳排放反弹效应实证研究  

Research on the Rebound and Reduce Effect of CO_2 Emissions in Shanghai Logistic Industry from the Technological Perspective

作　　者：谌伟[1] 李荷华[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海第二工业大学经济与管理学院,上海201209

出　　处：《上海第二工业大学学报》2016年第2期146-151,共6页Journal of Shanghai Polytechnic University

基　　金：上海市教委科研创新基金(No.14YS141)资助

摘　　要：物流业是城市经济活动中的重要部分,也是能源消耗量大的行业之一。以上海市物流业二氧化碳排放量为研究对象,建立碳排放反弹与减量效应两类模型,定量分析2000～2012年间上海市物流二氧化碳排放控制过程中的反弹与减少量。结果表明,2000～2012年间,上海市物流业二氧化碳排放量的反弹效应与减量效应均显著,物流产业发展产生的反弹效应抑制了技术效率提升产生的减量效应。鉴于上海市发展的实际情况,物流业低碳政策设计中应以控制增速为政策构建的出发点。Logistics industry is an important part of the city’s economy, but also is one of energy-intensive industries. The theoreticallymethod is established to analyze the rebound effect and reduce effect of logistic industry based on the energy consumption data ofShanghai logistic industry from 2000-2012. The result indicates that the the rebound effect and the reduction effect of the logisticsindustry in Shanghai carbon emissions was significant during 2000-2012. Rebound effect caused by the economic development ofthe logistics industry limited the reduce effect caused by technical efficiency. Taking into account the actual stage of development inShanghai, the low carbon policy maker should be to control the growth rate of CO2 emissions rather than zero or negative growth forlogistics industry.

关 键 词：低碳 反弹效应 减量效应 

分 类 号：X799[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X322