区域金融改善与产业结构优化  

Regional financial improvement and optimization of industrial structure

作　　者：李新功[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学工商管理研究所,河南开封475004

出　　处：《科学学研究》2016年第6期833-840,849,共9页Studies in Science of Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(12BJL066);河南省软科学重点项目(162400410003)

摘　　要：文章利用拉姆齐-卡斯-库普曼斯模型,采用河南省1978-2013年金融改善与产业结构优化的时间序列数据,运用格兰杰因果分析、构建VAR模型,就金融改善对三次产业的贡献进行回归。研究结果表明河南省金融改善指标与产业结构调整指标相互间存在长期均衡关系,并且金融改善与产业结构优化具有单向的格兰杰因果关系,对产业结构优化的影响比较明显。金融改善对三类产业产值贡献度不同,第三产业最大、其次是第二产业和第一产业。对此,文章从区域金融改善视角提出了产业结构优化的政策启示。Regional financial improvement is important enough for industrial structure optimization. The article used data from 1978 to2013 to explore relationship between financial development of zone with industrial structure,constructed VAR model with Grainger causal analysis. The results suggested the relationship between financial improvement of zone with industrial structure was single. And Contribution of financial development to different industry varied. To the first industry is the biggest. At last,the article supported some advice to this spot.

关 键 词：金融改善 结构优化 拉姆齐-卡斯-库普曼斯模型 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F204[经济管理—国民经济]