俄白哈关税同盟的贸易效果探析  

Analysis on the Trade Effect of the Customs Union in Russia,Belarus and Kazakhstan

作　　者：胡志高[1] 龚新蜀[1] 王世英[1] 

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2016年第6期114-121,136,共8页World Economy Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(项目编号:13BJL052);国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:13BJY137)

摘　　要：研究俄白哈关税同盟的贸易效果具有重大的理论与现实意义,而系统研究俄白哈关税同盟贸易效果的文献比较缺乏。文章从贸易规模和增速、内部贸易占比、贸易强度和贸易条件4个方面反映关税同盟的静态效果,通过对FDI的变化、创新能力的变化、国际竞争力的变化研究关税同盟的动态效果。根据以上分析得出结论:俄白哈关税同盟的贸易效果已部分显现,但总体效果仍比较微弱。其中,俄罗斯的技术创新和综合竞争力的提升效果比较明显,白俄罗斯贸易条件改善比较显著,哈萨克斯坦的贸易条件改善和综合竞争力的提升较为显著,但其他效果不太明显。总体来看,关税同盟的贸易效果仍有待加强。The systematically research on the trade effect of the customs union in Russia,Belarus Kazakhstan is relatively few,although it is full of theoretical and practical significance. This paper reflects the customs union's static effect from trade scale and growth rate,internal trade proportion,trade intensity and trade condition. We also study the dynamic effect from the change of FDI,the change of innovation ability,and the change of international competitiveness of the customs union. By analyzing all of those,we draw conclusions as following: technological innovation and competitiveness are enhanced more obviously in Russia,trade conditions improved significantly in Belarus and Kazakhstan,in terms of trade and competitiveness,but the other effects are faint.

关 键 词：俄白哈关税同盟 贸易条件 投资效应 技术创新 竞争力 

分 类 号：F745[经济管理—国际贸易]