能源消费与经济增长关系的实证研究——以陕西省为例  

Empirical Study on Relationship Between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth—The case of Shaanxi Provice

作　　者：马莉[1,2] 叶强强[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,中国北京100081 [2]延安大学经济与管理学院,中国陕西延安716000

出　　处：《经济地理》2016年第6期130-135,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：陕西省社科联项目(2015C027);陕西省教育厅专项科研计划项目(15JK1824)

摘　　要：结合1978—2014年的样本数据,采用协整分析、VAR误差修正模型、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应与方差分解等方法,分析陕西省能源消费与经济增长的关系。结果显示,陕西省经济增长与能源消费之间存在长期协整关系,但它们互不为Granger因果关系。为了更好地发挥能源消费对经济增长的促进作用,政府应制定政策,有效调整能源消费结构,加强新能源的开发与利用,加大产业结构调整力度,保证经济的持续稳定的增长。This paper analyses the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth based on the data of Shaanxi province from 1978 to 2014. By using co-integration analysis, VAR error correction model, Granger causality test, and the impulse response methods. It testifies the long-term equilibrium relationship and non Granger causality between the energy consumption and economic growth in Shaanxi. The government should adjust the structure of energy consumption, strengthen the utilization of new energy, increase the adjustment of industrial structure, In order to make better use of promoting economic growth through energy consumption, and keep the economy with persistent and stable growth.

关 键 词：能源消费 经济增长 VAR模型 陕西省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]