地震风险感知影响因子研究——基于问卷调查的数据分析  

Study on the Influence Factors of Earthquake Risk Perception——Based on the Data of Questionnaire Survey

作　　者：王伊琳[1] 邓晓越 周志刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学保险学院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《保险职业学院学报》2016年第3期5-10,共6页Journal of Insurance Professional College

基　　金：2015年国家社科基金项目(编号:15XRK005)资助;2014年四川省社科规划项目(编号:SC14E021)资助;四川省保险学会2015年度科研课题(编号:2015SCBX10)资助

摘　　要：本文以问卷调查的方式得到了影响被测试者地震风险评估的心理因素,通过相关性分析与因子分析法,抽取了影响个体地震风险感知的四个因子。其中恐惧因子由是否感到害怕、是否感到焦虑和受到影响构成;概率因子由短期和长期再次发生地震的概率以及灾害发生的概率判断组成;影响因子则由地震发生后影响的时间、范围和人数构成;控制感则由地震能否预测控制、后果出现的时间、能否控制地震损失以及降低概率构成。同时本文考察了不同人口社会统计变量对个体地震风险感知的影响。In this paper, the authors acquired the subjects＇ psychological factors affecting the risk assessment by questionnaire. Through the correlation analysis and factors analysis, four factors that affect the perception of individual earthquake risk are extracted. The factor of Dread consists of Afraid, anxious and whether be affected, the factor of Subjective probability is influenced by the long and short term of earthquake shocked again, and the influence factor consists of period, scope and amount of peo- ple affected by the disaster, the last factor of control is dominated by＇whether the people can predict the time of earthquake and whether we can control the loss. At the meantime, the authors also studied the social statistics variables affecting the perception of earthquake.

关 键 词：地震风险感知 概率 恐惧 影响 控制 

分 类 号：P3[天文地球—地球物理学]