突发地质灾害应急数值模拟浅析  

Numerical simulation technology analysis of geological disaster emergency

作　　者：李俊峰[1] 张小趁[2] 刘红岩[1] 褚宏亮[3] 倪天翔[3] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京100083 [2]华北科技学院,北京101601 [3]中国地质环境监测院(国土资源部地质灾害应急技术指导中心),北京100081

出　　处：《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2016年第2期154-161,共8页The Chinese Journal of Geological Hazard and Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(41162009);国土资源部公益性行业科研专项:突发地质灾害应急响应支撑关键技术研究(201211055);中国地质大学(北京)基本科研业务费专项资金(2-9-2014-019)

摘　　要：突发地质灾害事件应急响应具有社会聚焦性和时间紧迫性,处置决策离不开科学高效的技术支撑,数值模拟技术具有成本低、效率高、且能够方便考虑多种不同工况等优势。而目前对突发地质灾害应急数值模拟技术的研究尚未开展,同时常规数值模拟囿于技术条件等原因,对应急地质灾害技术的支撑实践效果十分有限。为此以滑坡灾害为例,在临滑稳定性研判、变形失稳机理分析和滑动过程推演等数值模拟应用现状分析的基础上,通过与常规数值模拟的技术条件比较,初步提出应急数值模拟技术发展的关键问题。以期有助于应急决策辅助应用。The emergency response of geological disaster emergency has the characters of social focus and time urgency. As we all know,disposal decision depends on scientific and efficient technical support, and numerical simulation technology has low cost,high efficiency,and the advantages of the convenient to consider a variety of different conditions and so on. Literature study suggested that the numerical simulation technology analysis of geological disaster emergency is still insufficient,because of the shortage technical condition,the conventional numerical simulation can not support the practice efficiently. In this paper,landslide has been discussed in three aspects such as the sliding stability analysis,the analysis of deformation and instability mechanism and the sliding process deduction. Through the comparison with the conventional numerical simulation technology,the development of emergency numerical simulation technology are put forward preliminarily. At last,wish the study will be helpful for emergency decision aid application.

关 键 词：地质灾害 数值模拟 情景 应急响应 滑坡 

分 类 号：TU4[建筑科学—土工工程] P642.22[天文地球—工程地质学]