云南经济增长与城市化关系的实证研究  

Empirical Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Urbanization of Yunnnan

作　　者：吴雪萍[1] 张新启[1] 

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学统计与数学学院,云南昆明650221

出　　处：《曲靖师范学院学报》2016年第3期88-93,共6页Journal of Qujing Normal University

摘　　要：利用1978至2015年云南的地区生产总值、农村居民纯收入、城镇居民可支配收入和城市化率相关数据,建立相关计量模型,从供求角度来研究云南经济增长与城市化的关系.研究结果表明:到2020年云南要实现"翻两番、增三倍"的经济增长目标所需要的城市化率为55.17%,而按照云南现有的城市化进程,到2020年云南的城市化率将达到52.44%,不能够满足经济增长对城市化率的需求,存在2.73个百分点的缺口.因此,为了实现经济倍增目标,需要加快云南城市化进程.The relevant econometric model was established by using the data of gross domestic product,net income of rural residents,urban residents disposable income and urbanization of Yunnan from 1978- 2015.The relationship between economic growth and urbanization was researched from the perspective of supply and demand. The results show that ＂quadruple,increasing three times＂requires urbanization rate of 55.17% by 2020; that Yunnan＇s urbanization rate will reach 52. 44% according to the existing process of urbanization in Yunnan,which cannot meet the demand for urbanization rate of economic growth and the gap is2. 73%. Therefore,Yunnan needs to accelerate the process of urbanization to achieve the goal of economic multiplier,

关 键 词：经济增长 城市化 实证研究 

分 类 号：F299[经济管理—国民经济]