集装箱海上运输空间联系强度及演变路径  

Spatial Linkage Intensity and Evolution Path of Container Shipping Network

作　　者：李倩雯[1] 真虹[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海201306 [2]上海海事大学上海国际航运研究中心,上海200082

出　　处：《中国航海》2016年第2期111-114,119,共5页Navigation of China

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目(15BJY069);上海海事大学研究生创新基金(2014ycx045)

摘　　要：利用空间运输联系相关理论对全球集装箱海上运输节点和网络的演变路径进行定量研究。根据全球七大板块间集装箱海上运输的往来货流量数据,运用空间运输联系强度模型,对区域间集装箱海上运输空间联系强度进行测算和分析。结果表明:13年来,除与东亚地区联系的航线之外,洲际间航线上的区域空间联系强度普遍减弱,而东亚区域内航线的空间联系强度增速明显快于其他区域。同时,以东亚、欧洲和中东/印度次大陆为三角区域的集装箱海上运输联系逐渐加强,全球集装箱海上运输网络呈现"以东亚为中心,辐射周边,并带动世界集装箱运输繁荣"的区域集中化演变趋势。The evolution path of global container shipping nodes and network is quantitatively studied by spatial transport linkage theory.The research,based on the intensity model,calculates and analyzes the container shipping linkage intensity within seven main parts using the data of global container shipping flows.The study shows that the linkage of inter-regional container shipping lanes gets looser except the lanes connected with East Asia,for which the linkage has got tighter over the past thirteen years.Meanwhile,East Asia,Europe and Middle East/Indian Sub-continent are gradually forming a triangle area,among which the linkage is getting increasingly stronger.The global container shipping network appears to have the trend of regional concentration around East Asia.The research predicts that the network will have a core at East Asia and radiate from East Asia to surrounding areas,and this shipping network is expected to promote the prosperity of the global container shipping industry.

关 键 词：水路运输 集装箱运输 空间运输联系 强度模型 演变路径 

分 类 号：U695.22[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]