基于GPCA模型的中国省域生态文明治理评价研究  

Measurement of China's Provincial Ecological Civilization Based on Generalized Principle Component Analysis Model

作　　者：韩永辉[1] 李青[1] 邹建华[2] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院,广东广州510420 [2]中山大学岭南学院,广东广州510275

出　　处：《数理统计与管理》2016年第4期603-613,共11页Journal of Applied Statistics and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573058);教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目(14JZD021);教育部创新团队发展计划项目(IRT1224);广东省自然科学基金创新团队项目(S2013030015737);广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(GD15YYJ01)

摘　　要：本文基于生态文明内涵,建立测度生态文明治理水平的评价指标体系,采用中国31个省市区面板数据,依托GPCA模型,研究了各省区生态文明治理的动态趋势,治理指数排名及其变化;采用K-均值聚类方法,进行了梯度划分和空间格局衍化分析。结果表明:2001-2012年中国东、中、西部各省市区生态文明治理水平均有所进步,但东、中部进步的幅度更大;与2001年相比,2012年区域生态文明治理评价指数排名较前的省区依然集中在东部,中部和西部省区相对靠后,区域不平衡状态未有明显改善,也未出现"俱乐部现象";四分位聚类分析图也显示中国生态文明治理存在"西低东高"的空间分布特征,从东部到中部再到西部地区依次梯度递减。Based on the connotation of ecological civilization, an evaluation index system of ecologi- cal civilization management was constructed by applying provincial panel data from 2001 to 2012 and Generalized Principle Component Analysis （GPCA） model to analyze dynamic trend, index ranking and its changes over years of every province. Besides, K-means clustering method was adopted to perform gradient division and spatial patterns derived analysis. The results showed that ecological civilization of every province improved from 2001 to 2012. Compared with the western region, ecological civiliza- tion of eastern and central regions developed better. Compared with 2001, provinces in eastern region still ranked higher than most of central and western regions in 2012, indicating that there＇s no signifi- cant improvement in regional imbalance and Club Effect. Four bitmap reflected the spatial distribution characteristic that ecological civilization management of eastern, central and western regions ranked in descending order.

关 键 词：生态文明 生态治理 全局主成分分析 区域测评 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]