基于主成分分析的“一带一路”沿线国家经济差异演变特征分析  

Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Economic Disparity for One Belt and One Road

作　　者：丁广伟[1] 张磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学经济学院,中国乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《上海商学院学报》2016年第3期17-23,共7页Business Economic Review

基　　金：国家社科基金重大招标项目"中国新疆周边国家经济安全机制比较和整合研究"(项目编号:14ZDA088);国家社科基金重点项目"中国新疆与中亚国家的能源与贸易互联互通建设战略研究"(项目编号:13AZD083);新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目"‘一带一路’框架下西北地区经济走廊经贸分析"(项目编号:XJUFE2016K061)

摘　　要：本文基于"一带一路"倡议的顶层设计框架,依据沿线国家经济发展现状、区域间差异,以及各国对推进"一带一路"的重要性,选取经济增长率等12个反映经济综合实力发展指标,运用主成分分析法测算相应的权重及综合得分,在此基础上运用ArcGIS10.2软件进行空间聚类分析。研究表明,"一带一路"沿线国家区域间经济差异悬殊,整体呈"哑铃型",两端发展较好、中间区域经济发展相对较弱。沿线国家的经济极化效应下降,缺乏有效的空间联动效应,国家间在基础设施建设、能源合作等领域具有较大合作空间。One Belt and One Road initiative of the top-level design has been completed preliminary,along with the country＇s economic development,regional differences are of important meaning to promote the One Belt and One Road policy.The author selects 12 indexes which can show the comprehensive strength of the economy development.Based on spatial clustering analysis worked out by ArcGIS10.2,principal component analysis（pca）is used to calculate the corresponding weight and comprehensive score.Study shows that＂One Belt and One Road＂along the national regional economic disparity,the difference between＂dumbbell＂on the whole,better development on both ends,the regional economic development is relatively weak in the middle.Along the polarization effect of national economy,the lack of effective spatial linkage effect,in infrastructure construction,energy cooperation between countries have greater cooperation in areas such as space.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 国家 经济差异 主成分分析 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]