基于ESDA的新疆旅游经济发展空间分异规律研究  

Spatial Difference of Tourism Economy in Xinjiang by Applying Exploratory Spatial Data Statistics

作　　者：冯迎[1] 张军民[2] 

机构地区：[1]石河子大学政法学院,新疆石河子832003 [2]石河子大学理学院,新疆石河子832003

出　　处：《旅游科学》2016年第2期68-78,共11页Tourism Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"玛纳斯河流域绿洲经济-生态景观空间分异机理研究"(41361025);国家自然科学基金"气候变化和灌溉方式对干旱区土壤盐渍化的复合驱动机制研究"(41361073)

摘　　要：在Arc GIS空间分析技术支持下,借助Geo DA空间自相关分析方法,以新疆85个县(市)旅游总收入及其空间差异为研究对象,分析新疆旅游经济发展空间分异格局,并用地学统计方法研究其空间分异规律,得出:(1)新疆旅游经济具有较强的空间依赖性,全局空间自相关特征明显,表现为集聚度高、异质性强、差异性大的空间极化分异态势;(2)局部上则表现为高高相聚和低低相随的两极分化格局,热点区以乌鲁木齐为中心,以昌吉州和吐鲁番、阿勒泰地区为延伸,沿交通网络向周边地区递减的空间分异格局,喀什、和田地区为冷点区;(3)交通可达性及旅游基础设施数量对新疆旅游经济发展起决定性作用,高速公路尤其是铁路对旅游经济影响最大;旅游资源优势度对旅游实现更加重要;交通区位对新疆旅游经济空间分异起着基础性作用。In the Arc GIS space analysis technology,using Geo DA spatial autocorrelation analysis,with83 county of Xinjiang tourism revenue as the research object,and the space difference analysis of the economic development of Xinjiang tourism spatial distribution pattern,and land use spatial statistics analysis method to study the spatial distribution rules,it is concluded that：（ 1） The tourism economy in Xinjiang has strong spatial dependence,the global spatial autocorrelation characteristics significantly,which shows the concentration degree is high,strong heterogeneity,big difference of spatial polarization differentiation situation;（ 2） The local performance of high and low polarization pattern together,the hot spot in Urumqi as the center,To Changji and Turpan,Aletai region as an extension,decreasing along the transportation network to the surrounding areas of space distribution pattern,Kashi,Hotan region is cold spot area.（ 3） Clear on the traffic and the number of travel agency,is crucial to the economic development of Xinjiang tourism,highway especially railway had the greatest influence on tourism economy; Tourism resource advantage degree of tourism is more important; Traffic location of Xinjiang tourism economy spatial differentiation plays a basic role.

关 键 词：旅游经济 空间分异 ESDA 新疆 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]