中国经济衰微与复兴的历史大转型分析  

Historical Transformation Analysis on the Decline and Recovery of China's Economy

作　　者：王津津[1] 任保平[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《中国经济问题》2016年第4期3-16,共14页China Economic Studies

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学发展报告项目(13JBGP014);陕西高校人文社会科学青年英才支持计划项目(HSSTP201401)的资助

摘　　要：中国经济衰微与复兴的动态变迁过程是一系列多层次、大规模、不均衡转型的外在反映。本文构建"制度变迁—技术进步—结构转变"的理论分析框架对中国经济衰微与复兴的历史形成机制进行深层次解释。认为由盛转衰是农业经济向工业经济转型的必然结果;建国以后经济复兴的重启得益于近代市场经济向计划经济的转型;1978年以来经济高速增长的动力源自于计划经济向社会主义市场经济的转型。而包容性制度环境的构建、经济开放度的提高、经济增长模式的转变以及供需结构的调整是中国经济由衰微走向复兴带来的重要启示。The decline and recovery of china＇s economy are reflected on a series of multilevel,large-scale and imbalance transformations.In order to explain the underlying causes of the decline and recovery,we＇ve built a framework called＂institutional changes-technical progress-structural conversion＂to theoretically analyze this article.And we believed that the transformation from agricultural economy to industrial economy has caused China＇s ancient economy to decline.Benefited from the transformation from modern market economy to planned economy,the economy recovered after new China＇s establishment.Besides,the planned economy transformed into the socialist market economy provided the driving force of economic growth.In addition,constructing more inclusive institutions,promoting the openness of China＇s economy,changing the pattern of economic growth and adjusting supply-demand relationship are the enlightenment of the historical transformation research.

关 键 词：经济表现 制度变迁 技术进步 结构转变 历史转型 

分 类 号：F129[经济管理—世界经济]